Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5631
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5631 · PSP → SFO
departs 6:02 PM PT · arrives 7:48 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 36%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP
Weather at each end
PSP (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.