OO 5636 · ORD → GRB

departs 8:44 AM CT · arrives 9:52 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GRB?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Arrivals into GRB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5636 · ORD → GRB

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRB?