Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5655
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5655 · DEN → FAT
departs 12:14 PM MT · arrives 1:43 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Thu 10/29 10%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 14%
Tue 11/3 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
FAT is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.