OO 5697 · ORD → ORF

took off 11:39 AM CT · expected to land 2:27 PM ET (scheduled 10:56 AM CT → 2:21 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ORF?

LIVE

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at ORF that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5697 · ORD → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?