OO 5788 · ORD → MSN

took off 12:56 PM CT · landed 1:25 PM CT (scheduled 12:27 PM CT → 1:29 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±3 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ MSN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

MSN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5788 · ORD → MSN

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSN?