Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5823
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5823 · OKC → ORD
departs 9:16 AM CT · arrives 11:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at OKC that day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.32 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.