Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5881
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5881 · SFO → RDD
departs 4:33 PM PT · arrives 5:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/30
Odds over time
Arrive at RDD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±6 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at RDD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDD?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDD
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RDD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.