Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5883 · MFR → SFO
departs 6:35 PM PT · arrives 8:07 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±6 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR
Weather at each end
MFR (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.