Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5912 · ORD → CVG
departs 3:12 PM CT · arrives 5:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/29 26%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.