Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5914
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5914 · TUL → DEN
departs 5:10 PM CT · arrives 6:10 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±8 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.