Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5918 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

OO 5918 · ORD → YYZ

departs 4:39 PM CT · arrives 7:23 PM EDT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5918 · ORD → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?