Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5972
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5972 · ICT → DEN
departs 1:35 PM CT · arrives 2:20 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.