OO 5980 · PHX → LAX

departs 6:36 PM MT · arrives 8:11 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at PHX that day

↑ 6pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.82 in

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5980 · PHX → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?