Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5985
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5985 · PHX → SFO
departs 3:40 PM MT · arrives 5:52 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/29 27%
Fri 10/30
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±8 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.