OO 6024 · LGA → ORD

departs 5:30 PM ET · arrives 7:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 5pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6024 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?