OO 6071 · CKB → IAD

departs 10:33 AM ET · arrives 11:41 AM ET

Your aircraft is N906EV (CRJ2), coming in as OO 5017 from ORD: landed 10:32 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from CKB are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CKB

Weather at each end

CKB (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6071 · CKB → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?