Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6193
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 6193 · ORD → AZO
departs 10:43 PM CT · arrives 12:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 31%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at AZO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AZO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at AZO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AZO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AZO
↓
AZO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
AZO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.