Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6199
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6199 · MAF → DFW
departs 6:54 PM CT · arrives 8:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29 41%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.53 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 3,467 ft
Visibility 8.33333 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.