Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6207
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6207 · TUS → PHX
departs 6:49 PM MT · arrives 7:48 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
↓
TUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TUS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.