Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6224
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6224 · LAX → OMA
departs 5:57 PM PT · arrives 11:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OMA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.06 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.