Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6230
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6230 · LAX → DSM
departs 1:21 PM PT · arrives 6:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DSM that day
↑
Arrivals into DSM at that hour are often late
↓
DSM usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
DSM (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.