Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6236
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6236 · DFW → ICT
departs 5:40 PM CT · arrives 7:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,467 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip none
ICT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.