Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6249
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 6249 · RIC → ORD
departs 8:13 PM ET · arrives 9:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.