Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6254 · DFW → SAF
departs 12:59 PM CT · arrives 2:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,667 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
SAF (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.