Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6269
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 6269 · SAF → PHX
departs 7:10 PM MT · arrives 7:40 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF
↓
SAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAF (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 9,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.