Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6289
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 6289 · ORD → ERI
departs 9:10 PM CT · arrives 11:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 35%
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ERI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ERI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ERI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ERI?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
ERI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ERI
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ERI (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.