Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6294
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6294 · PHX → TUS
departs 1:55 PM MT · arrives 2:53 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
1pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.59 in
TUS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.