Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6295
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6295 · ORD → FWA
departs 4:21 PM CT · arrives 6:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 38%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
FWA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FWA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.