Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6309
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 6309 · PHX → TUS
departs 8:49 PM MT · arrives 9:47 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 26%
Wed 11/4 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at TUS that day
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.71 in
TUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.