Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6314
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6314 · ELP → LAX
departs 6:08 PM MT · arrives 7:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from ELP are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.