Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6325
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6325 · MRY → PHX
departs 1:00 PM PT · arrives 3:08 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±6 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MRY
↓
1pm departures from MRY are usually not late
Weather at each end
MRY (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.59 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.