Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6340
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6340 · BFL → PHX
departs 4:19 PM PT · arrives 6:15 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±7 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BFL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BFL
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BFL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.