Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6346
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6346 · LEX → ORD
departs 7:00 PM ET · arrives 7:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.