Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6427
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6427 · LAX → OKC
departs 5:16 PM PT · arrives 10:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.06 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.