Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 6432 · LAX → SFO
departs 8:04 PM PT · arrives 9:34 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 50%
Sun 11/1 60%
Mon 11/2 46%
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.