Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6471
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6471 · LAX → JAC
departs 2:09 PM PT · arrives 5:22 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAC more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at JAC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAC?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
JAC usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JAC
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
JAC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.