Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6474
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 6474 · PHX → FLG
departs 8:21 PM MT · arrives 9:16 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 35%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLG more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at FLG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FLG?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
8pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLG
↓
FLG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.71 in
FLG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.