Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6486
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6486 · DFW → AEX
departs 3:28 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at AEX more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±3 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at AEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AEX?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AEX
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,533 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip none
AEX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.