Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6497
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6497 · SAT → LAX
departs 4:32 PM CT · arrives 5:43 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.11 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.