Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6499
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 6499 · PHX → OMA
departs 7:03 PM MT · arrives 11:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OMA that day
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.65 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.