Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6513
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6513 · LAX → SAF
departs 2:28 PM PT · arrives 5:37 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
SAF (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.