Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6513
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6513 · SAF → LAX
departs 6:03 PM MT · arrives 7:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF
↓
SAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAF (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.