Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PHILIPPINE AIRLINES · FLIGHT PR 110
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
PR 110 · MNL → GUM
departs 10:29 PM PST · arrives 4:28 AM ChST
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at GUM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GUM?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MNL
↓
Arrivals into GUM at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MNL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
GUM (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.