QK 645 · LGA → YUL

departs 7:46 PM ET · arrives 9:14 PM EDT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ YUL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YUL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YUL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 645 · LGA → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?