Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 7194 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

QK 7194 · PDX → YVR

departs 10:34 AM PT · arrives 12:04 PM PDT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from PDX are often late

↓ Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

YVR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 7194 · PDX → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?