Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

QATAR AIRWAYS · FLIGHT QR 730 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

QR 730 · DFW → DOH

departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 4:21 PM +03

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 72h before departure

Arrive at DOH more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DOH?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Arrivals into DOH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

DOH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QR 730 · DFW → DOH

Odds over time

How late will it get to DOH?