Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2080
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2080 · ANC → PDX
departs 5:14 PM AKT · arrives 9:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 35%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ANC that day
↑
Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
5pm departures from ANC are usually not late
Weather at each end
ANC (origin)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.