Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2093
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2093 · SAN → SBP
departs 12:31 PM PT · arrives 1:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SBP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBP?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
12pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SBP
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SBP (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.