Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2133 · OAK → PDX
departs 7:09 PM PT · arrives 9:04 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29 14%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
QX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PDX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.