QX 2138 · SFO → LAX

departs 10:18 PM PT · arrives 11:49 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±11 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2138 · SFO → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?